Member-only story

At a Crossroads amidst the Third COVID Wave

Nashon J. Adero
3 min readMar 11, 2021

--

Why enforcement and compliance must now be stricter in Kenya

Recent data on positivity rates and daily confirmed cases tell the story of a third COVID-19 wave in Kenya, for the third time cementing the character of the disease as a wily, wavy warrior waging the war of tactical retreat and overwhelming ambush.

Critical Moment

March 12, 2021 marks another critical moment for Kenya. It is a year since the first COVID-19 case was confirmed in the country. The President is scheduled to announce a review of the COVID-19 containment rules. The containment regime of the last sixty days elapses on this date. The confirmed COVID-19 cases in the country hit a total of 111,185 on March 11, 2020. The case fatality rate was 1.7% and the recovery rate was 79% (reduced from 81% recently). Recent data on positivity rates and daily confirmed cases tell the story of a third COVID-19 wave in Kenya, for the third time cementing the character of the disease as a wily, wavy warrior waging the war of tactical retreat and overwhelming ambush. As the spatial spread of COVID-19 cases across Kenya is shown on the map, the red hotspots have been in the main urban centres and along the major transportation routes across the country.

Distant Herd Immunity

--

--

Nashon J. Adero
Nashon J. Adero

Written by Nashon J. Adero

A geospatial and systems modelling expert, lecturer, youth mentor and trained policy analyst, who applies system dynamics to model complex adaptive systems.

No responses yet