COVID-19 in Kenya: Forgone Flattening Phase and Foreseeable Fourth Wave?

Modelling the latest trend after the entry of new variants

A return to the tighter containment measures that restrict community transmission should be viewed more as a minimum pragmatic requirement than an extreme punitive intervention.

Key Highlights

The global case fatality rate has stabilised at 2.1% with Africa’s at 2.7%. The global recovery rate has…