COVID-19 in Kenya: Forgone Flattening Phase and Foreseeable Fourth Wave?

Modelling the latest trend after the entry of new variants

Nashon J. Adero

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A return to the tighter containment measures that restrict community transmission should be viewed more as a minimum pragmatic requirement than an extreme punitive intervention.

Key Highlights

The global case fatality rate has stabilised at 2.1% with Africa’s at 2.7%. The global recovery rate has…

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Nashon J. Adero

A geospatial and systems modelling expert, lecturer, youth mentor and trained policy analyst, who applies system dynamics to model complex adaptive systems.