Hidden Risks in Africa’s Low COVID Cases, Fourth Wave?

Model insights into emerging scenarios with variants of concern

Nashon J. Adero
Geek Culture
Published in
9 min readJul 17, 2021

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Key Highlights

§ It has become a global urgency to calibrate COVID-19 containment policies in informed ways that can avoid long-term economic recession from over-protection or eventually explosive health risks due to over-relaxation and pandemic fatigue.

§ To avoid falling below or exceeding the optimal standards needed to strike a healthy balance between protecting health…

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Nashon J. Adero
Geek Culture

A geospatial and systems modelling expert, lecturer, youth mentor and trained policy analyst, who applies system dynamics to model complex adaptive systems.